People can share their observations, start their own threads that may be location specific, or post in the official threads for each storm. If you're looking for something to point to as to why it's been so (dang) windy of late, your first stop would be at a ridge of high pressure in the atmosphere located to the east-northeast. Take Omaha as an example. Nowhere in Arizona has been harder hit by COVID-19 than rural Yuma County, where agriculture is the No. First, we need to look at the winds over the entire planet. The reason for the persistent and at times strong wind is a result of a big area of high pressure parked over the Carolinas. There's plenty . The Union For Contemporary Art announced that they are going to turn the F.J. Carey Block building into the Shirley Tyree Theater. Below we can see the ocean heat content. Selover says strong winds are the result of significant pressure differences between high- and low-pressure systems More winds mean there could also be an increase in wildfires. Considering that the QBO is in the tropics, there is a strong linkage to the ENSO, that we have mentioned already above. The solar cycle lasts 11 years. I'd expect this sort of wind during the winter or as a hurricane approaches but this could just be selective memory. The short answer is yes. The bottom line up front, yes it has been windier. Note: this is an average picture of many SSW events. If the wind speed is strong greater than 17 mph and highly variable, the weather report will include the wind gust, which is the maximum observed wind speed. You can nicely see the developing cold waveforms, as the pressure patterns are creating strong easterly surface trade winds. In May alone, there have been more than 300 tornadoes reported. 1-Stop Winter Forecast This is creating a tight pressure gradient, a sharp change in pressure over a relatively short distance, creating strong, easterly winds in Florida. Notice the much lower pressure over Canada and Greenland, curving the jet stream into the northwestern United States and into the North Atlantic. But besides the ocean temperatures, one of the more important differences is also in the pressure pattern. Definitely need some rain. Central U.S. The cold anomalies have returned last Summer and also peaked in mid-October. It seems like every day the forecast calls for winds over 20 mph. Prior to the SSW event, the polar vortex was colder than normal and had good circulation. Over North America, more precipitation is forecast over Canada, which is still mainly snowfall. Weather Safety Rules Louisville, KY6201 Theiler LaneLouisville, KY 40229-1476502-969-8842Comments? Below we have a prolonged history of solar activity where you can see the very low solar activity during the Maunder Minimum. Looking closer at the last few years, we can see even better how last year, in 2021, the solar activity picked up again, now continuing into 2022. Looking at the zonal wind forecast for later this month at the 10mb level, we can see the equator having positive values, which means westerly winds. There we have a wind anomaly, so perfectly periodic, that it is often called the heartbeat of the atmosphere. Going into Spring, we see a return to the neutral phase (between 0.5 and -0.5), with an increased chance of an El Nino developing later in 2022. The image below shows a typical example of the stratospheric Polar Vortex at around 30km/18.5miles altitude (10Mb level) around the middle stratosphere during the winter season. This is a large oceanic region in the tropical Pacific, that is regularly changing between warm and cold phases. This means that the north pole starts to cool down. This naturally results in warmer air at the equator and colder air at the poles. Boston and Chicago are two of thirteen large US cities with year-round winds averaging above 10 mph. We reached a final minimum of the solar cycle 24 in 2020, and we began a new solar cycle 25 at that point. Higher pressure pushes down from the stratosphere into the Polar Circle, weakening the circulation. It is also another major difference with 2021, which featured an east (negative) QBO in its cold season, that is still ongoing. The precipitation pattern follows the colder air, as a supply of moisture is available. The 56 major cities included in the weather rankings here . NBC10 Boston. For an official warm phase to be declared, warm anomalies have to exceed +0.5 degrees in the Nino 3.4 region. These forecasts only show the prevailing or average picture over the course of 3 months, which can contain a lot of sub-seasonal dynamics. Daily Temp/Precip Maps Explore a billion-year-old volcanic mystery on Lake Superior, A journey of the senses through Abu Dhabi, These Lake Superior islands are no place for amateurs. Meteorologist Jennifer Ketchmark breaks it down. That trend has spilled into May, with 25-mph-plus gusts on six of the first nine days. The Tornado Season. Looking quickly at the global precipitation forecast, we see mostly drier to normal conditions over Europe, under a high-pressure system, and wetter in the north. Why has it been so windy in North Texas lately? A strong polar vortex usually means stronger polar circulation even in the lower levels of the atmosphere. This can be an indication that we are heading towards a new grand minimum, but it can also be a Dalton minimum type, like seen on the image above in the early 1800s. Those percentages are expected to impro, Weather researchers have chased storms across Nebraska this month as part of a wide-ranging $3.2 million study to better understand what trigg, Omaha's high temperature isn't forecast to climb much above zero until Saturday and wind chills won't crest that threshold until Sunday, accor. Such disruption creates a chain reaction, that can shift the jet stream by building a high-pressure area over the Arctic circle. There is also cold air in the upper levels of the atmosphere and when we get the heating of the day,. The WFAA weather team defines a "windy day" by any day that has winds over 30 mph. Wind can be your friend or your enemy. You have permission to edit this article. These westerlies higher up at 10mb are just an early indicator of what is to come. Email: nancy.gaarder@owh.com. The image below is a consolidated forecast from multiple North American seasonal models. Most of the United States has a colder signal, including Europe and Siberia. Winter is still ongoing and driven largely by a cold ENSO phase. Here's a look at the answer in the video above. That is similar to what we have seen in December, but with a reduced frequency. National Geographic's. 1-Stop Severe Forecast After watching the video you should be able to answer the following questions: -Is the polar jet north or south of us. This is an expected response after major warming events, as the colder air has an easier path towards the south and into these regions, provided that enough moisture is available. Teachers are pumped. Windy spring. Once again the winds are howling today, and gusts over 50 mph are common in much of Southern New England. On Saturday 37-mph gusts were recorded officially at Philadelphia . On the image below you can see the vertical wave propagation example. But as we go into Spring, we get to the first major severe part of the year in the United States. Below we can see the average pressure pattern from all the El Nino winters in the past 56 years. Other scientists say more years of future data are needed to understand changing wind patterns. Past Derby/Oaks/Thunder Weather Get the daily forecast and severe weather alerts in your inbox! Incoming Storm Dudley will be followed by Storm Eunice in a double whammy of windy weather set to pummel the country. Recreation Forecasts, Past Weather Lubbock recorded a gust of 77 mph around 7:30 p.m., and Amarillo recorded a gust of 75 mph. This year has been usual in the number of windy days so yes, it has been a windy spring. Air Quality Everything comes together in winter when the Polar Vortex returns and nicely connects all these factors together. We will go on a weather journey through 2022, starting with a seasonal weather pattern forecast for late winter and early parts of the Spring. "It's created problems like wildfires and grass fires," Smith said. From there we will go into the atmosphere and the oceans, to observe what is changing already, and what is yet to come. Korte has a request for the public: Avoid parking on the Interstate shoulder. Please be respectful of copyright. Major changes are coming in 2022 across the atmosphere and the oceans, creating different weather patterns into the second half of the year, and especially in the cold season later in the year. Can we bring a species back from the brink? And around every 17 months, these winds completely change direction. Nashville It now shows warm anomalies emerging across the equatorial Pacific Ocean (black box). Tornado Alley is a nickname given to an area in the southern plains of the central United States, that experiences a high frequency of tornadoes and other severe weather events each year from late winter to late spring. "Some regional studies had found similar results, so we suspected there may be an increasing trend," Young said. Among the impacts: Dakotas: Blizzard conditions raged for three days last week, piling up snow drifts 7 feet high. Storms approach Blair, Nebraska, looking west on State Highway 91 as the sun starts to set on Tuesday. Researchers around the world are tackling ways to gather data on changing wind patterns. It is basically like a very large low-pressure system, covering the whole north pole, down to the mid-latitudes. ECMWF produces these extended seasonal forecasts every few months. Washington state surpassed its all-time high for June, with at least one part of the state reaching . Example video title will go here for this video, DALLAS The WFAA Weather team has been asked several times, "What is up with this wind?". (Also see "Extreme Storms and Floods Concretely Linked to Climate Change?"). By 6 p.m., the high pressure system that was near southeast Wisconsin early. And also, warm anomalies must persist on a multi-seasonal time scale. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. The forecast makes a quick return to a neutral phase in Spring, with a transition into warm conditions by Summer. It shows the simulated QBO phases, descending over time, as we showed you above. And after getting several questions from viewers like you about the windy days we've had recently, I had to jump on the topic. It seems like every day the forecast calls for winds over 20 mph. This is also the most active season in eight years after several. Below we see the zonal (west-east) winds in the stratosphere above the equator over time. It shows the pressure rising over the polar regions, following an SSW event. On the other hand, a Polar Vortex breakdown is just as intense as it sounds. It can be found from the ground up into the high levels of the stratosphere. National Weather Service Des Moines tweeted this week what we've all been thinking: "It wouldn't be so bad if it weren't for the wind!". Generally, ENSO exhibits an important influence on the Jet stream in the Pacific Ocean, and consequently also downstream and upstream around the Northern Hemisphere. As. Weather reports include observations of wind speed and direction measured at the height of 10 meters (33 feet) above the surface. Get up-to-the-minute news sent straight to your device. Decision Support Page A grand minimum means an unusually long phase of low solar activity, and global weather changes as a result like it happened during the Maunder Minimum. Each ENSO phase has a different effect on the pressure and weather in the tropics. Rush, the climatologist, said a lack of a data calibrated, consistent measurements at millions of sites globally over many, many years makes it difficult to fully understand wind patterns and trends. Pressure tends to drop over Europe and the western Atlantic. The temperature pattern from the same years shows the warmer than normal temperatures in Canada and the northern United States. Within that dataset, instrumentation and measurement calculations have changed over the years, which complicates analysis. In North Texas, April's average wind speed is 12.2 mph and March's average wind speed is 12.1 mph. Based on data from 1960 forward, eastern Nebraska is averaging its second-windiest year to date and second-windiest spring to date, said Taylor Nicolaisen, meteorologist with the National Weather Service. Normal wind speed for the month of March is 12.1 mph and it is 12.2 mph in April. That comes from the north flow around the strong blocking high in the North Pacific. Just like in the oceans, we again have a region that alternates between a positive and a negative phase. The image below from NOAA Climate shows the typical circulation during a cold ENSO phase that we are currently in. That has formed last month and is set to stay into the early Spring season. Squirrels, being primarily herbivores, mainly eat nuts, seeds, fungi and fruit, as well as a wide variety of plants. "In other years where we have enough precipitation, it's moist out, it might be windy, but it doesn't cause any problems." The regular cycle of the QBO can be seen in a quite simple image. CHICOPEE, Mass. The image below is from NASA analysis. South-central Nebraska: A massive, wind-driven fire ignited April 7 and claimed the life of Elwood, Nebraska, Fire Chief Darren Krull in a crash. The image below shows the connection between the east QBO and the Polar Vortex in the December-January winter period. Social vs. medical egg freezing: Whats the difference? El Nino and La Nina Over the past five years, we've have had 14-17 days of windy weather during the month of April. That is why we will look at its weather influence in the first part of 2022, going from Winter Into Spring, when this cold ocean anomaly will finally start to disappear. This year Flint has averaged one mile below normal in January, just slightly windier than average in February, slightly calmer. The wind turns the blades of a turbine around a rotor that spins a generator either directly or through a shaft and a series of gears that speed up the rotation from the blades and allows for a smaller generator to be used. Notice how the recent solar cycles are generally weaker compared to the earlier ones. Nationwide Weather Stories You can notice the warmer temperatures over much of Europe, which would suggest a pattern change to a more westerly flow in early 2022. UNO's Eduardo Rosario tags out Nebraska's Max Anderson at home at Tal Anderson Field in Omaha on Wednesday. HEAT.gov Other aspects of the climate, however, haven't gotten as much attention. Users will get flair that indicates if they are an approved meteorologist as well as flare for their state. Todays 5-year-olds will likely live to 100, How to take better care of your aging brain. It completely broke the polar vortex apart, sending a wave of higher pressure down to the surface. We usually observe a global shift in pressure patterns during the emergence of an ENSO phase but it is usually most influential during the peak of the phase and its decay. That said, this month's average wind speed (9.7 mph) has been nearly 10 percent faster than normal (8.9 mph), according to Berger. he windiest times of the year in D-FW are winter and spring. The prevailing or average picture of many SSW events, which can contain a lot of sub-seasonal.! A neutral phase in Spring, with a transition into warm conditions by Summer pummel country! Which is still mainly snowfall down to the surface at times strong wind a... 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why has it been so windy in texas lately